In our opinion, it’s not the case that the US economy has avoided a recession, but rather that the current cycle has been elongated. We use the commodity/gold ratio (the Spot Commodity Index (GNX) ...

The “business cycle” might just be one of the oldest ideas in economics. For more than 200 years, economists have been pointing to the tendency of economies to expand, then slow down, contract and ...

Learn about 'slowcession,' a slow growth phase without economic contraction, and how it impacts the U.S. economy. Discover ...

There are some ominous signals out there that suggest we're in the late stages of the economic cycle, but Morgan Stanley says investors should tune out the noise and brace for more growth ahead. ADP ...

Explore how long typical boom and bust cycles last, their impact, and economic trends in U.S. business cycles.

On paper, the United States is in an expansion, not a slump. Output keeps rising, unemployment is relatively low, and inflation has cooled from its peak. Yet for households and businesses that have ...

To continue reading this content, please enable JavaScript in your browser settings and refresh this page. Successful long-term economic development strategies often ...

To our surprise, the US economy has not entered a recession over the past two years. This is not because a recession has been avoided altogether but because the current economic cycle has been ...